Monday, September 03, 2007

Tropical Storm Henriette - Computer models tracks

(Click images to enlarge)


We've been following Tropical Storm Henriette for some time now. It is a slow moving cyclone which is forecast to become a hurricane in the next 36 hours.

Henriette is actully chugging along over open water and there is a chance that when it makes landfall it may, in fact, not be at hurricane strength. The computer models keep suggesting Henrietta is moving faster than it actually is. It is actually on a course of Northwest at about 5 knots/6 mph/9 kmh.

Although not the monster that Dean was and Felix currently is, Henriette is currently packing a lot of Pacific moisture and high winds of 60 knots/69 mph/111 kmh.

The National Hurricane Center is calling for Henriette to alter northward and make landfall somewhere on the south-western Baja Peninsula -- somewhere in the neighbourhood of Cabo San Lucas/Los Cabos. That sector of the Baja is now under a Hurricane Warning.

Henriette should cross the Baja and make a second landfall in northern Mexico. While it will probably not regain strength after its trip across Baja, it's going to drop lots of moisture, some of it in the southwestern US.

UPDATE: The visible loop from NOAA is worth looking at. If you're in Cabo San Lucas, I would suggest getting out of the way.

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