Saturday, December 03, 2016

#ERRE report and poison pills

There's a lot of hay being made of about Maryam Monsef's parliamentary attack on the Electoral Reform committee's report.  In brief, Monsef went on the attack and accused the committee of  failing in its job by producing a recommendation for proportional representation and a referendum on whether Canadians want it. In response, the committee members, other MPs, and the general public bristled, largely focussing on the fact that the committee recommended PR yet was disparaged by the Minister for doing so.

What I think everyone missed is the referendum recommendation. Specifically,
  1. Recommendation 12
    Observation: The Committee acknowledges that, of those who wanted change, the overwhelming majority of testimony was in favour of proportional representation (PR). The Committee recognizes the utility of the Gallagher Index, a tool that has been developed to measure an electoral system’s relative disproportionality between votes received and seats allotted in a legislature, as a means of assessing the proportionality of different electoral system options.
    The Committee recommends that:
    •   The Government hold a referendum, in which the current system is on the ballot;
    •   That the referendum propose a proportional electoral system that achieves a Gallagher Index score of 5 or less; and
    •   That the Government complete the design of the alternate electoral system that is proposed on the referendum ballot prior to
      the start of the referendum campaign period 

More than anything else, a referendum is what the Tory members of the ERRE committee were pushing for and they damn well got it. A referendum is a political bludgeon that tends to benefit populist sentiment more than considered opinion. Brexit, Indyref in Scotland, the last Quebec referendum, the rise of Trump, and some of the Harper era antics around proroguing all show how populist appeals can confuse complex issues in voters minds. The fact that the committee also included a relatively complex formula that would need some time and effort to explain as part of a referendum question is probably unhelpful.

Why? 

Because as soon as it goes to referendum, the Tories can come out with all sorts of fear-mongering rhetoric probably linking PR to some kind of commie-hippie-ISIS-Liberal plot to corrupt your precious bodily fluids. 

Why? 

Because the last decade of Conservative governments show they can't quite nudge past 40% of the popular vote. The Conservatives are in an existential crisis as each new generation of voters are less and less conservative minded, and the older stable generations of Tory supporters are shuffling off this mortal coil. PR does not help Conservatives win elections so they will do what they can to sabotage it. 

So what happens if electoral reform goes to a public vote and the Conservative fear campaign wins? ER is shelved. which is pretty much as good as never happening. 

If the Liberals impose it sans referendum, they'll be accused of ignoring the will of Canadians and undermining parliament. If they don't they'll be accused of breaking a key election promise. 

Viewed this way, the committee report is toxic to PR.

9 comments:

Wow Thinking said...

Often you get bogged down when you realize that your system has some technical problem and you are unable to handle it. No worries, you can contact Microsoft Tech Support Canada +1-888-582-4887 and get it resolved at once. Our expert professionals will offer you a fitting solution remotely at your convenience.

viagrajakarta said...

thank you for sharing
viagra jakarta
viagra di jakarta
viagra asli jakarta
viagra asli di jakarta
viagra original usa
viagra usa di jakarta
viagra original jakarta
viagra original di jakarta
viagra obat kuat
jual viagra jakarta

Sharon Anderson said...

Thanks for sharing this quality information with us. I really enjoyed reading.
マカフィー活性化, マカフィーインストール, マカフィーをインストールする, マカフィーセットアップ, マカフィーアンチウイルス, マカフィー総保護, マカフィーダウンロード, マカフィーは更新する, マカフィー問題, マカフィーをインストールできない, マカフィーのヘルプ

Zihan Amelia said...

As a cheater your heart has failed, fooling me like the others, if I quickly realized it would certainly be more hurt

Pengobatan Step Pada Anak
Obat Batuk Sesak
Obat Sakit Tenggorokkan
Cara Memperbaiki Penglihatan Yang Buram
Cara Menghilangkan Perih DiLambung
Cara Menghilangkan Gatal Dan Benjolan Bernanah

You to view said...

นอนไม่หลับ ทำยังไง
https://dtogenthailand.com/insomnia

90minup said...

สล็อตออนไลน์
โกลเด้นสล็อต
goldenslot
golden slot

drmeads said...

Welcome to suplexmedshop Online Drugstore, BUY Xanax Online without prescription.
Looking to buy prescription drugs online discreetly?
You are at the right place! Here, you can buy drugs online without prescription and have it shipped and delivered to your location. As part of our expansion, we equally ship to all 50 States within the USA, The UK, Canada, Australia and a whole lot of countries worldwide.
Buying prescription drugs like Actavis Promethazine – Codeine Cough Syrup has never been easier.
We equally employ the most discreet payment methods, Bitcoin being one of many. All to ensure your safety and discretion is guaranteed.
Buy Drugs Online Without Prescription .Actavis
Promethazine Cough Syrup with codeine
and Morphine Sulphate for Sale Online Without Prescription.
Actavis Promethazine.
How should I take Adderall?,
BUY Xanax Online
Buy Adderall Online
BUY DEMEROL ONLINE
BUY Promethazine Codeine
BUY ECSTACY ONLINE
BUY VYVANSE ONLINE
BUY Oxycodone ONLINE

jacklinemelda said...

With our Write my Research Paer Services we not only write the Cheap Nursing Term Papers for the students but also guide them on how they can be able to write an academic paper by themselves.

Buy Morphine Online said...

Welcome to activamedpills Online Drugstore, Buy zohydro online
Looking to buy prescription drugs online discreetly?
You are at the right place! Here, you can buy drugs online without prescription and have it shipped and delivered to your location.
As part of our expansion, we equally ship to all 50 States within the USA, The UK, Canada, Australia and a whole lot of countries worldwide.

Buying prescription drugs likeBuy percocet online has never been easier.
We equally employ the most discreet payment methods. All to ensure your safety and discretion is guaranteed.
Buy adderall online.Buy codeine online and Buy oxycodone online Without Prescription.
Buy adderall online.
How should I take Adderall?,
Buy tramadol onlineBuy ketamine online
Buy demerol online